By Kevin Scholla
Barracuda backers are on the edge of their collective seat as they wait for the big announcement. Sarah Palin continues to reassure supporters that she will make her intentions for 2012 known next month. So, whether that announcement is she's in or she's out, it will send shock waves throughout PalinistaLand. If she does not declare her candidacy there will be a major letdown amongst those who have acted as if she has been running for months, if not years. However, if she does throw her glasses into the ring, which I do believe she will, these supporters will be giddy to say the least and this GOP primary will be turned on its ear.
Rick Perry's entrance into the race last week has sent a clear message to Mitt Romney, the perceived frontrunner (even though you never come across anyone that actually supports him) and the rest of the field of elephants hoping to replace a reeling President Obama. That message is, despite a few debates and plenty of campaigning in earnest, this Republican ride is just starting and the eventual winner may be a late entrant. Considering Ronald Reagan didn't officially announce his candidacy until November of 1979 and then went on to wallop a floundering President Carter in 1980, I'm not so sure these hopefuls should be hit with the 'late' tag at all. Perhaps, 'latest' may be more appropriate.
Perry is instantly a legitimate force to be reckoned with. One, because he has an obvious strong following (you don't win three straight gubernatorial elections otherwise) and two, he has name recognition thus he can thrust himself toward the top of the standings in short order. Something a McCotter or a Hunstman could never pull off. Something a certain former Alaska governor however could accomplish with even more of a splash.
Just like Perry, Palin has the luxury of waiting things out, allowing the current crop to be vetted just a bit more, and then pounce when the time is just right. Also, like Perry, Palin has a slew of rabid fans and name recognition galore. In fact, her base is bigger than Perry's and whether they like her or not, aside from maybe Rip Van Winkle, everyone knows Sarah.
Unlike Perry, Palin has a consistent, conservative record to stand on. That's a huge boon because a conservative will emerge from this primary fight. Only a conservative can beat Obama. History shows conservatives like Reagan or Republicans that campaign as conservatives like George W. Bush win, while moderates like Ford, Dole, and McCain come up short. Michele Bachmann's early success is a sure sign that active, lucid Republicans want a conservative candidate not a RINO this time around. Winning a national nomination while a member of the House of Representatives however is a tall order. Palin would excite the same Tea Party base that Bachmann is benefiting from plus she'd attract other voters too because she has a record of running a state to stand on.
Palin's record is solid. The witch hunt over her emails resulted in either deafening silence from liberals or even some lefties admitting the electronic notes showed a focused leader acting with conviction and professionalism. The film The Undefeated which makes its big pay-per-view debut next month showcases the real Palin even more. Palin took on both parties, big oil, and anyone or anything that stood in the way of what was best for her constituents. This message is getting out there. Independents are noticing. Dems are too and they're getting fidgety about it.
Many media outlets would lead you to believe that the Herman Cains, Bachmanns, and Palins of the world are 'too conservative' to win a national election. It's closer to the truth to say the Romneys and Perrys, just like McCain, Dole and Ford before them, aren't conservative enough to topple the most liberal president this country has ever known. Why do you think the very awkward Jon Huntsman became the media darling when he announced his run during a speech that was as much about how he respects Obama as it was about why Huntsman should be the prez? Because they full well know Obama would clobber a candidate like that, much like he bested McCain. There is not much difference between the choices, so the incumbent becomes the clear favorite.
In order for Obama to be sent packing in January of 2013 he will need to match-up against a true conservative Constitutionalist who will call BHO out for all of his failures, associations, half-truths, and flat out lies. Bachmann would do that, but again a run from the House to the White House would be very unlikely. Cain would not back down either, but as much as Americans claim to not want 'politicians' and as much as they love pizza, I'm not sure that a man with zero elected office experience can prevail either. That leaves Palin. The full package. The whole shebang. Palin will not mince words. She is tremendous on camera and would demand answers from Obama during the debates. She also would have her own chief executive body of work to point to as a stark contrast from the man whose poll numbers these days are just above malaria and just below pneumonia.
Bachmann and Cain are patriots and will be wonderful cogs in a Palin support system. Perry, Romney and the rest seem like they're ready to step out of character any moment to say they're not really conservatives but they did sleep in a Holiday Inn Express last night. Palin is the one who can do this. Soon we'll find out if she wants too. Along with being a beacon of hope for so many, Palin is a wonderful daughter, wife, and mother. If she believes the strain on her family would be too much, she will not run. Barring that unlikely scenario, look for the ultimate Mama Grizzly to bear down and tear up the competition.